In an op-ed in the New York Times, Prawf Stephen Vladeck makes the point that, even though Trump appears certain to lose the birthright citizenship case argued before the Supreme Court, he’s already won.
If anything was clear during Wednesday’s Supreme Court oral argument in the birthright citizenship case, Trump v. Barbara, it’s that President Trump is going to lose. The justices’ questions were skeptical enough to suggest that somewhere between six and eight of the justices will hold that Mr. Trump’s executive order purporting to limit birthright citizenship is unlawful, whether because it violates an immigration statute Congress enacted in 1940 and updated in 1952, the citizenship clause of the 14th Amendment, or both.
It’s generally perilous to believe that the questions posed during oral argument reveal what the outcome will be, as justices often challenge arguments only to later take the position that they appeared challenge. It’s a way to test arguments rather than reveal votes. But based on yesterday’s oral argument, the questions posed appear overwhelmingly to demonstrate that the majority of justices rejected the specious arguments that John Eastman, and hence Trump, and thereafter the MAGA faithful, found powerful. They were neither textual, relevant nor historically sound, even though they’ve been sold to, and bought by, the gullible and clueless. Continue reading
