It may never be known whether Trump assumed that conventional bombing of Iran would produce a Venezuela-like outcome, with the regime collapsing and agreeing to do Trump’s bidding, or not. But what has become overwhelmingly clear, long before Trump’s surrender to Iran, was that there was no consideration of what Iran would do with the Strait of Hormuz or Plan B strategy if the regime survived.
Perhaps it would have gone smoother had Trump focused on a goal in advance of an unlawful war rather than throw things against the wall and see what would stick, thereby being able to sell the war to Americans as worth the cost, in terms of lives and money. It surely would have gone better had Trump not blathered about how we won, we decimated Iran (as opposed to obliterated their nuclear program a few months earlier), how Iran was nice to him and agreed to everything he wanted. And oh yeah, how he was in control of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical international waterway that was open to all before he started the war and was now closed, whether by Iran, the United States or both. Continue reading
