To Prosecute Or Not

Between the hosts and their law prof commentators on MSNBC, the only remaining question is which prison will house Trump after his conviction. Mind you, that Trump has yet to be indicted is hardly an issue. Larry Tribe argues it’s a fait accompli, and who would doubt a Harvard law prof, right Dersh? And yet, the steamroller of justice they passionately believe is about to run all over Trump has yet to budge.

Should it? Damon Linker argues that, guilty as Trump may be, his prosecution would be inescapably viewed as political and put the law, rather than Trump, on trial. And he’s got serious doubts whether the law would be acquitted.

One of the many ways in which Trump has demonstrated his skill as a demagogue is in his ability to provoke severe reactions in his political opponents that he then turns around and points to as evidence of their untrustworthiness.

These reporters call themselves journalists, but they’re left-wing activists with press credentials! They’re out to destroy me!

Those members of the intelligence community say they only care about defending the country, but they’re spreading ridiculous lies, calling me a Russian asset!

That prosecutor says he’s just upholding the rule of law, but he’s clearly gunning for me!

You know the drill. We all endured it for four interminable years.

Then again, Trump didn’t accomplish this all on his own, the media, for example, doing every possible to prove their lack of integrity in response, providing plausibility to Trump’s whining victimhood. And this same approach, never losing but always being the pathetic victim, captures the weepy hearts of the empathetic on the right. Can facts, evidence and law ever dry their fragile tears?

The case for indicting Trump comes down to the claim that it should be illegal to attempt the overthrow our democracy by disregarding the outcome of an election, and there should be severe legal consequences for doing so. Otherwise Trump himself (and other would-be tyrants to follow) will be emboldened to try it again.

This is a powerful argument. A public trial, presentation of evidence to a jury, conviction, and punishment, with all of it widely viewed as legitimate—this is what justice demands when it’s viewed in the abstract and treated as an automatic process taking place fully apart from politics. If this were realistically achievable, I would fully support it.

But of course this isn’t realistically achievable.

As Trump would half-jokingly say, he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and his supporters wouldn’t care. One might think his supporters, hearing him say something so outrageously asinine and offensive would recognize the scam, but no, which is why they’re his supporters in the first place. Here, it’s worthwhile to draw an important distinction between people who supported Trump because they adored this cartoon character as opposed to people who held their nose when voting for him because they found the other side even more insufferable.

The line between law and politics is permeable. Laws are made by politicians, and prosecutors are either elected or appointed by those who are. Moreover, a prosecutor’s decision about whether to seek an indictment is far from automatic. It’s a judgment call, and politics is one factor influencing it. This is especially so when the prosecutor is the Attorney General appointed by the currently serving Democratic president and the alleged criminal is the Republican former president of the United States.

Because of this permeability between law and politics, upholding the rule of law is a tricky business. Any appearance of bias, unfairness, hypocrisy, double standards, favoritism, or animus can do enormous damage, undermining public faith in the distinction between justice and officially sanctioned persecution of political opponents.

Garland has done nothing to suggest that he’s a political animal. Sure, he was nominated by Biden, a Dem president, but that’s how it works. Still, between his Supreme Court nomination being derailed and his appointment by Biden, the dots will be connected in the genius minds of Trump supporters for whom paranoia is like water to a fish. But are there any set of circumstances where Trump could be prosecuted, even if there were a thousand videos of him shooting someone on Fifth Avenue, where his sycophants wouldn’t come up with some excuse like a space alien morphed into a look-alike?

But the thing about this MO is that it works whether or not the person on the other side has done anything unprofessional or unfair. The case against Trump for his actions leading up to and on January 6 looks rock solid. But regardless, he is bound to respond to any indictment by impugning the Attorney General’s motives. Dummy Democrat Merrick Garland is so pissed off that I put Neil Gorsuch in the seat Obama promised him on the Supreme Court that he’s trying to throw me in jail for pointing out that Old Man Biden stole the 2020 election!

The rule of law itself would be on trial in any prosecution of Donald Trump, and I’m not at all sure it would end up exonerated in the eyes of tens of millions of Americans. The additional damage to our capacity for self-government could be considerable.

Linker isn’t wrong. Trump will say anything, because that’s what he does no matter how  obviously false and completely idiotic, and those inclined to lick his anus will lick away. Whether that’s tens of millions is unclear, but it could be even if it’s not nearly as much as some assume. Some of us would like to believe that the majority of Trump voters are well aware of who and what he is, and are constrained to support him anyway.

But still, Linker’s strong argument against prosecuting Trump, and the failure of the “rule of law” in the eyes of millions of Americans, is largely the same argument in favor of prosecuting Trump, with millions of Americans, likely more than Trumpers, seeing a president walk away from criminal conduct as the failure of the rule of law.

Whether Trump committed a crime, should be indicted and can be convicted remains an far more open question than the television suggests, and unless and until he’s indicted, there really isn’t much to discuss about the prosecution of Donald Trump. But if the evidence is there, and the balancing of law to politics could just as easily tip either way, the law should prevail. Indeed, the law must prevail.


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20 thoughts on “To Prosecute Or Not

  1. Paleo

    Did Trump actually commit a crime? I’m not saying he didn’t, but I’m not sure he did either. As a non-lawyer, I can come up with non criminal explanations for everything that he did. I won’t bore you with them, but it’s really pretty easy.

    Yes, it’s absolutely true that his actions that day reflect very poorly on him. I think they demonstrate that he’s unfit to be president again. But when has anything ever reflected well on Trump? And when has he cared?

    The people chasing him in congress and the media think they’re more credible than he is because their bubble won’t allow him to see that they aren’t. And a trial won’t accomplish anything because everyone who cares has already made up their minds, so it’ll be a political mess.

    1. SHG Post author

      As I tried to make explicitly clear, the question here isn’t whether Trump did or did not commit a crime, but whether, if he did, he should be prosecuted or not for political reasons. Has everyone made up their mind? Maybe (or maybe not), but so what?

      1. Paleo

        Ok, I’ll be explicit. I don’t see any point in trying to put a 76 year old man in prison by way of a trial that will be extremely partisan and the result of which is going to be rejected by a huge proportion of the country. For crimes that are marginally provable.

        Another point to add into the mix – there were several times during his presidency when I could have been convinced that Trump has a mental illness. I’m not sure he’s capable of understanding that what he did on 1/6 was wrong. That’s supposed to mitigate criminal culpability, isn’t it?

        1. SHG Post author

          Better, although it’s useful to distinguish between conviction and sentence. One can be convicted and given a sentence that does not involve prison.

  2. David

    Does accepting a pardon requires admitting one did the crime for which the pardon is offered? Perhaps the best situation (not that, with any degree of independence in prosecution decisions it could necessarily be ethically engineered) would be for Trump to be indicted, and Pres. Biden to offer a pardon. Conditional, of course, on Trump acknowledging what he did and making the comparisons to former Pres. Nixon even plainer.

    I am sorry to impugn the late Pres. Nixon’s legacy by comparing him with Trump…

    1. SHG Post author

      Read the title of the post, and then ask yourself, what part of this comment has anything to do with it?

      1. David

        Yes decide to prosecute, no not prosecute because pardon after decision to prosecute made. Trying to have one’s cake and eat it too.

  3. Chairman of the Bored

    [Ed. Note: You’re not special. I could explain why, but as you recognize, my house, my rules, so I don’t have to.]

  4. RTM

    I agree “if the evidence is there, and the balancing of law to politics could just as easily tip either way, the law should prevail.” In this case, if the evidence is there, he should be prosecuted if for no other reason than to deter similar illegal conduct in future elections. To give him a pass for provable illegal conduct – if it exists – would in my opinion invite the same or worse conduct in the future and create an intolerable new normal.

  5. Curtis

    Imagine, if you will, Trump gets found not guilty after the prosecutors overreach. Talking heads will explode and Trump will get reelected. The first part would be hilarious. The second not so much.

  6. Another Choice Please

    I’m afraid that the House, with the two totally politicized impeachment proceedings with secret witnesses, hidden testimony and mid-process rules changes, has forever removed any possibility of any trial being seen as anything other than another political attempt to punish Trump. The made for TV J6 hearings (where you can’t even get witness transcripts) has just made it worse.

    If it did go to trial, does anyone believe that you could find 12 jurors who haven’t already made up their minds? His attorneys would have an excellent case in moving for dismissal based on the impossibility of seating an impartial jury. Trump then announces his victory against the rigged system (or decries the rigged system if not granted).

    This process would not help the rule of law in this country, just add to political strife.

  7. Richard Parker

    Ford did the country a big favor by pardoning Nixon. No sense in creating a martyr.

    The Demos could learn from this.

  8. James

    Huge mistake. The groundwork for completely political and biased occurred independent of anything Trump. Garland was flagged ‘Political Animal’ for directing the FBI to investigate parents protesting school boards. Something the regional NSBA couldn’t run from fast enough. Sec 4 Standards for Judicial Review of “For the People Act” moves voting cases to the DC Courts. Not a sign that the Democratic Party sees the DC court as neutral.

  9. Anonymous Coward

    The problem with prosecuting Trump for anything related to the election is that the justice system will lose any remaining prestige as the trial will become a circus that makes the Chicago Seven look like a model of decorum. Further poisoning the well is a history of partisan attacks on Trump as well as a voluminous public record from news media and social media of people in power demanding Trump’s head plus Pelosi trying to craft a Bill of Attainder. The smart move is to not prosecute Trump because he either destroys them in court and likely gets elected in 2024 or he becomes a martyr and sparks who knows what.

  10. awfulpod

    Even more cynical viewpoint – if this goes to trial, whether or not Darth Cheeto wins or loses, Pandora’s Box has been opened (Nixon’s I think was so egregious for the time that Pandora stayed home. Probably watching Dora).

    I can see tit for tat impeachments for years to come if Trump is charged, regardless of the outcome.

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