The Medvedev Trick

Andrew Sullivan chronicles some of our president’s abuses of power for his own personal gain. If you’re unfamiliar with what this is about, or refuse to believe that Trump isn’t your savior doing everything for you rather than him, feel free to read the sordid details in Sullivan’s post. My hope is that it’s not necessary as you’re already well aware of it. All of it. All of it increasing monthly, weekly, daily, as it pops into Trump’s head that there is someone out there he wants to crush and will happily abuse the power of his office to impose suffering on his enemies or to gain his advantage.

But then, it’s only for another three and half years, right? After all, his bluff notwithstanding, his two terms as president is all he gets, and it’s not as if he can or would try to violate the Constitution. Right? Right?!?

The question, it seems to me, is how Trump might respond to a real SCOTUS setback, or to a House he doesn’t totally control. And the answer to that we already know: he will assault the court’s legitimacy, threaten the Justices with mob violence, refuse to end the tariffs, and — of course! — claim the 2026 elections are rigged. The same, I think, applies to his term limits. He will attempt to defy them along the lines of his beloved thug-tyrant, Bukele. And if that open assault on a clear Constitutional amendment doesn’t fly, which may be a stretch even for MAGA vandals, it still won’t be over.

Up to now, the Supreme Court and occasionally his appointees to circuit courts of appeal have given him plausible deniability that he’s running roughshod over the law and Constitution. He’s surrounded himself with incompetent sycophants, such that the voices of reason and maturity from his first term that squelched his dopiest impulses are no longer heard. No longer is there a White House counsel telling the president that no, he can’t do that. Indeed, he takes the counsel of such luminaries as Stephen Miller and Laura Loomer.

Since the Republican Congress has demonstrated fealty to their lord, no matter how absurd his actions and choices, the last guardrail, the judicial branch, is trying desperately to avoid the facial confrontation that gave rise to President Jackson’s snark to Chief Justice Marshall. But what will happen when even his adored SCOTUS compatriots say “No, you cannot run for a third term.” He’s gone. The nightmare is over. No one could possibly believe that two terms means two consecutive terms, and only a blithering idiot would believe he gets another term. Right? Right?!?

If a Democrat wins in 2028, Trump will call the election rigged and illegitimate, and will re-stage 2020 on behalf of a successor — with the full weight of the federal government behind him. If a Republican wins, Trump will remain POTUS the way Putin stayed president after making Medvedev “president” in 2008. Trump is an instinctual tyrant, and once those characters have tasted raw, arbitrary power, as he has, they can never let go. He must either have a family member succeed him or a puppet. Don Jr or JD — Trump’s Medvedev.

For those unfamiliar with Medvedev, after Putin served two terms as president of Russia, he handed the position to Dmitry Medvedev, and took the subservient position of Prime Minister. Except Putin still ran the country, and then had the Russian Constitution amended to allow him to serve as president again, and he and Medvedev changed places as Putin again assumed the presidency to be the official, instead of unofficial, ruler of Russia.

But let’s assume Trump, for all his bluster, can’t manage to pull off the lie that he’s not constitutionally barred from a third term, and instead runs his son, Junior, or his lackey, Vance, as his successor. He’s already got billions in his PAC, even though he can’t run again, and the money empowers him to remain the ruler of the Republicans, as does his willingness to lie, cheat and steal to wreak havoc on anyone who gets in his way.

To the credulous MAGA faithful, his word is gospel, and he has shown no reluctance to damage anyone who strays from his path. Shame is unknown to Trump, for whom false assertions of fact and delusional reality are mere weapons in his arsenal to achieve his personal goals. With the office or not, the MAGA faithful will do as he commands, for he is the great and powerful Trump, their lord and savior.

It may be that once he’s out of office, the Republicans and conservatives will openly defy Trump, reject him and welcome the day they are rid of this meddlesome priest. But it may well be that Trump no longer needs the trappings of office to exert unilateral control over the MAGA faithful and will continue to rule through the hands of his son or puppet, his Medvedev.

The stain of this will therefore be deep and permanent. It already is. Trump intends to use the 250th celebration next year as a Putin-style glorification of his reign. By then he’ll be riding in the Qatari jet that the Senate just allowed him to keep permanently. Tyrants also demand permanent monuments to their glory. So having paved over the Rose Garden, Trump is now intending to add a massive 90,000 square foot gilded ballroom to the White House itself, forever cementing it as a palatial symbol for his new monarchy.

When the 2029 inauguration ball is held in this low-rent Queens boy’s image of what rich should look like, who will stand in the center of the ballroom welcoming his guests? It might not be the president. It might well be Trump, with his Medvedev at his side.


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11 thoughts on “The Medvedev Trick

    1. Miles

      Vance may be an adequate minion, but I don’t see him replacing Trump as the cult leader. Even if Trump anoints him as his successor, Trump will still be in control of the MAGA cult and dictate to Vance, or else.

    2. phv3773

      The cast will change. Doctors Gartner & Segal over at Shrinking Trump are clear that Trump’s mental incompetence, which is obvious to them now, will become prohibitative before the end of this term.

      But the worst may happen anyway.

  1. Ronald Cook

    Welp, we had a great run as a country. Almost made it 250 years before we succumbed to a tyrant king. I dont see how we recover from this seeing as how weak and divided the Democrats are.

  2. LY

    Scott,

    I understand that you don’t like Trump, I’m not fond of him either and wish we would have had any better option last election. However you really need to sit down and think about this extreme pathological hatred you have been expressing, it’s not healthy.

    Here you are buying into an all out conspiracy theory, based on nothing more than extreme TDS, that he is going to try to declare a dictatorship and pull a Maduro and declare himself president for life. Do you really think all the different law enforcement agencies and the military would allow that to stand even if he tried?

    I understand that it’s entirely possible that he will continue to control the Republican party (or more likely some significant portion of it as the rest splits off) much to it’s detriment and possible destruction and replacement but a Trump dictatorship or dynasty is not likely.

    The best way the Democrats can ensure an end to his influence is to address their serious systemic issues and ditch their own problem fringe and get back to serious governance.

    1. Steve UK

      Are you saying this with a straight face after 2020 and after he told his supporters in 2024 that they wouldn’t have to worry about elections any more?

      1. LY

        I am not saying he wouldn’t love the idea. But are you suggesting that every federal law enforcement agency as well as the entire military (who swore oaths to the Constitution and Country (but not to the president) and who, as a rule, take that oath extremely seriously – enough to willingly die for) would stand around with their thumbs up their butt and just watch it happen? I’m pretty sure that somewhere someone in these organizations would stop it.

        But publishing articles like this which read like “THIS IS A REAL THING AND IT’S GOING TO HAPPEN!” rather than “This is the orange idiots wet dream” is just stirring the pot and some fringe crazy is going to read it and start thinking “It’s up to ME to stop it” and we’ll have another idiot slinging bullets around killing bystanders, or worse. Once the bullets start flying it’s real hard to get a functioning system back, ask France, Spain and the entire former USSR.

        Everybody needs to calm the fuck down. Trump is bad yes, but he’s not the end of America (but idiots acting like it may well be). We survived Nixon and Carter (and Obama and the Bushes, and Biden and Trump 1.0) and we’ll get through this if everyone on both sides of the issue grows the fuck up and starts acting like adults.

        Treat it like a stress test on the system and fix the issues revealed (on both sides over the last 12+ years) when and if we get adults actually interested in governing the country and not culture war back in charge. Right now I don’t see any indication on either side that it’s going to be soon.

    2. Mark

      This sounds very similar to all those who said in 2020 that Trump wasn’t serious when he couldn’t commit to a peaceful transition of power. This Trump blindness keeps downplaying his threats while he continues to follow up on those threats.

      Do Democrats have their problems? Without a doubt. But they’re not the party attacking the very foundations of our democracy. Maybe address those issues before talking about the bullshit TDS claim that is very Trump supporters only retort.

  3. Hunting Guy

    The U.S. has a history of “Gray Eminences” running things.

    Edith Wilson for her husband, Woodrow Wilson after he had his stroke, Obama and Clinton for Biden, and Dick Cheney for G.W. Bush.

    Those are the modern ones, I’m sure there were others in the earlier administrations.

    We survived those, we will survive this one. Besides, Trump is 78. At some point he will run out of steam.

  4. Sol Wisenberg

    “[T]he last guardrail, the judicial branch, is trying desperately to avoid the facial confrontation that gave rise to President Jackson’s snark to Chief Justice Marshall.”

    And in the process of doing so is further diminishing its stature.

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