Good News, Bad News and Confirmation Bias

David French reflects on the Axios report that neither President Biden nor his senior advisors believe the polls that say he’s got campaign issues. After all, how could someone as worthy as Biden lose to someone as unworthy as Trump?

I thought of 2012 when I read in an Axios report this week that “President Biden doesn’t believe his bad poll numbers, and neither do many of his closest advisers.” That belief isn’t absurd on its face. After all, polling is difficult, and there have been a number of recent polling misses.

After describing at length a handful of banal experiences for a concept that doesn’t really require much explication, David puts the pedal to the metal. Continue reading

Beware The Orthodoxy of Heterodoxy

A two-day “festival” was held earlier this month in the bowels of hipsterville called “Dissident Dialogues.” It had been my plan to attend for a day, and I requested an agenda so I could decide this day to attend. I was told it would be forthcoming. It never was, so I never went. Fortunately, Cathy Young did and wrote a brilliant post about the good and the bad wrapped up in the current iteration of dissidence.

IN AN AGE OF POLITICAL POLARIZATION and tribalism, “heterodoxy” has become an increasingly popular concept for the tribeless, denoting people and ideas that defy traditional left/right descriptions. The Heterodox Academy, cofounded by renowned psychologist and author Jonathan Haidt in 2015 in reaction to progressive groupthink in academia, is the most prominent example; but the label is also embraced by what Radley Balko identified as the “new genre of heterodox punditry”—as found in publications like QuilletteUnHerd, and the Free Press. Amid competing and stultifying orthodoxies, the concept of heterodoxy can feel like a refreshing alternative.

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Education, If The Union Permits

The obvious failings of public sector unionism aside, the union representing graduate students and staff at the University of California, a local of the United Auto Workers because the Teamsters were too busy that day, has authorized a strike.

Not for pay. Not for benefits. For “free speech.”

The union, U.A.W. 4811, represents about 48,000 graduate students and other academic workers at 10 University of California system campuses and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Its members, incensed over the university system’s handling of campus protests, pushed their union to address grievances extending beyond the bread-and-butter issues of collective bargaining to concerns over protesting and speaking out in their workplace.

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Why Does Cy Vance Pander?

In 2015, Cy Vance made a decision. His office, the New York County District Attorney’s office, would not prosecute Harvey Weinstein for the sexual assault of Italian model Ambra Battilana Gutierrez, despite their being a recording of Weinstein admitting his conduct.  Perhaps David Boies, who contributed $10,000 to Cy’s re-election campaign when he was running unopposed, had something to do with it. Perhaps not.

But now, Cy has seen the light. Continue reading

But For Video: The Tragic Death of Roger Fortson

He was a 23-year-old active-duty airman, a patriot and, by all accounts, a good person. So why was Roger Fortson shot dead in the doorway to his apartment? Body cam showed the reason, at least from the point of view of the sheriff’s deputy.

As highlighted in the video, Fortson had a handgun in his hand. From the perspective of the deputy, he was there to address a “disturbance” in apartment 1401, Fortson’s apartment. Continue reading

The Lists of the Cancelled

Remember when Moira Donegan created the “shitty media men” list as a way for women to hurl untested accusations, whether true or false, at anyone they wanted to smear? At least that list had the putative merit of accusing men of wrongdoing, even if their only wrong was being male. But is it a crime to be Zionist, to believe in the right of Israel to exist as a Jewish state? Apparently, it is, at least to some.

Of course, without lists, how would people know who to hate, to shun, and round up when the time comes? Continue reading

Despised Defendant Makes Bad NY Law

Bill Cosby’s conviction was reversed. More recently, Harvey Weinstein’s conviction was reversed. The takeaway in both cases, reversed for different reasons, is that the prosecution overstepped the law in order to make sure that these high profile defendants charged in the throes of #MeToo went down. You see, these were bad dudes. Everybody said so. And that’s reason enough to make sure they’re convicted.

And then their convictions were reversed. In New York, this was unacceptable to Democratic legislators, so a bill has been introduced to change the law. Continue reading

Waiting For His Appeal Since 1996

Milwaukee criminal defense icon, Chris Van Wagner, sent over a decision by Seventh Circuit Judge Frank Easterbrook in the case of Robert Pope, who in 1996 was convicted and sentenced to life in prison. After his conviction, he filled out a form requesting an appeal. You’ll never believe what happened next.

After nothing happened for about 14 months, Pope sought aid from Wisconsin’s public defender, who replied that Pope first needed an extension from the court of appeals—which turned him down on the ground that he had waited too long. See State v. Pope, 2019 WI 106 ¶11, 389 Wis.2d 390, 936 N.W.2d 606 (Dec. 17, 2019) (recounting the 1997 decision). The court of appeals found that Pope had forfeited his appellate rights by not doing himself what the lawyer was supposed to do for him. Pope then asked the trial court for relief; it said no, given the appellate decision. “Since 1997 Pope has made multiple attempts to reinstate his appeal rights.” Id. at ¶12. All were unsuccessful until 2016, when the state acknowledged that Pope is entitled to an appeal and the circuit court entered an order to that effect. Continue reading