Cristian Farias pointed out the twit to me:
For the self-proclaimed messiah of criminal law reporting, I would have expected something a tad deeper than “research suggests” repeating the same phony stats that are being used to trivialize the risk of false rape accusations. But then, when the self-proclaimed messiah of criminal law reporting stands for the finest in progressive values, why not?
This is why not. From Jack Chin at PrawfsBlawg:
A widely cited review of the literature suggests that a more accurate conclusion of reliable studies is between 2 and 10%. But CUNY Dean Michelle Anderson published an article the conclusion of which on this point seems solid to me: “In fact, there is no good empirical data on false rape complaints either historically or currently . . . As a scientific matter, the frequency of false rape complaints to police or other legal authorities remains unknown.”
And this is why not:
A more recent National District Attorney’s Association study reviewing the same literature, while debunking absurdly high estimates from some unreliable studies, agreed: “Of course, in reality, no one knows—and in fact no one can possibly know—exactly how many sexual assault reports are false.”
But most importantly, this is why not:
And it cannot go unremarked, in a season where, in my opinion, at least, there is good reason to believe that African American men suffer from the consequences of myths imposed on them, that a belief that an accusation has a 98% chance of being true imposes a special burden on minorities. White lacrosse players at Duke deserve false accusations against them no more than anyone else, but at least they are likely to have financial resources and, from some important quarters, receive the benefit of the doubt. Falsely accused African Americans may not be so fortunate.
Many spectacular university-related gang rape charges which were disproved involved African American men. Tracey Owens Patton & Julie Snyder-Yuly, Any Four Black Men Will Do: Rape, Race, and the Ultimate Scapegoat, J. Black Studies offers much history and context and a sad tale from Iowa State. The fact that accusations were debunked in these cases might suggest that the system works. But if the young Black men at St. John’s or Hofstra had neglected to record their encounters, I for one, would not be a bit surprised if they were in prison for life.
There is a huge, glaring conflict here, for those who willingly turn a blind eye to phony statistics to justify supporting and believing the claims of rape “survivors” without question, challenge or the slightest hint of skepticism. Their simplistic mantra of believe the women because false accusations almost never happen is not merely a lie, but comes primarily at the expense of black male defendants.
So how does that fit with your progressive world view? You support feminism. You are against racism. When the two clash, who are you willing to burn, the accusing woman or the accused black man?
Aside from the inherent problems with advocates who continue to spread baseless statistics, largely because they and the rest of America are statistically incompetent, and the stats that support their team are the only ones that matter when the cause is on the line, even the phony stats matter. Ten percent of accusations are false? And that’s trivial, unworthy of your progressive concern for fairness, due process and innocence, when compared to the “survivor’s” suffering?
Why can’t both matter? Since when must we pick sides with our eyes wide shut? When did truth become an inconvenience?
If you’re prepared to hold tight to fallacious statistics because they support, at least in your mind, your cause, and your cause is more important to you than accuracy, so be it. But then, the fact that you’re willing to deceive yourself and others in furtherance of your cause doesn’t mean you also get to pretend you stand for progressive values. You don’t.
What you are doing is sacrificing innocent men of color on the altar of feminist dogma. If this is fine with you, then say so. Say it out loud, that you don’t care that you are happily condemning innocent black and Hispanic males to prison, to lives of misery, to all the suffering that a human being and family goes through when the innocent are wrongfully accused, convicted, disparaged and sentenced, because the rape panic matters more to you than their lives.
Be as feminist as you want, but you don’t get to wrap yourself in the comfort of progressive values. Your cause comes at the expense of males of color. You are the enemy of progressive values. You are prejudiced. Admit it already.