More DNA Follies: The Context Effect

An email from Forensic Bioformatics alerted me to yet another rather surprising problem with the dreaded magic of DNA.  I, like most lawyers, maintain a somewhat idealized vision of science.  While “junk science” has long been on my radar, “real science” is still on a pedestal, mostly because I want to believe that somebody out there is more dedicated to the truth than to the conviction.  Naive, as we well know, but still true.

Bioforensics, however, burst my bubble again by alerting me to yet another problem with DNA testing, the Context Effect.  As we push to improve identification procedures in light of the overwhelming studies that show that eyewitness IDs are replete with flaws, it appears that many of the same problems exist with DNA.

Picture the DNA analyst given a sample from a suspect in a crime and asked to compare it for a match to a sample found at a crime scene.  That’s the scenario address in this White Paper by Bioforensics.  The analyst, knowing what he’s dealing with, will try very hard to make the match, and his knowledge of what he’s got in hand will influence the way he “interprets” fuzzy areas.  Objective interpretation becomes subjective, and fuzzy becomes clear when the analysts knowledge affects his judgment.

When I asked if there were any good examples of this happening, a big one came back at me.


Examples of context effects in forensic science are unfortunately not difficult to find.  One of the most famous is the Brandon Mayfield case, where several FBI fingerprint experts “matched” his print to fingerprints found on a bag of explosives material found in connection with the Madrid train bombing.  The FBI’s fingerprint software listed Mayfield as a potential match, so the analysts were more likely to try to match the prints.  Mayfield was later found to be completely innocent.

That’s certainly a fairly clear example of how objective science turns subjective.  Jason Gilder has provided me with a powerpoint showing the problem in more scientific terms,


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