Welcome Back, Junk Science (As If It Were Ever Really Gone)

Culminating in the report of the National Academy of Sciences in 2009, it was clear that most forensic science had little to do with science. And if this wasn’t sufficient, the results were more vigorously restated in the 2016 President’s Council of Advisers on Science and Technology, or PCAST, report. Not that Garland’s DoJ cares much about it.

So what are the chances that law enforcement, prosecutors, judges, have learned anything about junk science, such as it not being science, not being reliable, not being admissible in court and not using it to convict people because, well, it’s crap? Not much.

And if Kevin Underhill sounds a wee bit skeptical, Tim Cushing at Techdirt sounds as if his head damn near exploded.

Arpad Vass, “forensic instructor,” is handing out divining rods to students hoping to become better crime scene investigators. I wish this were a joke. It is, very sadly, an actual thing that is happening with the blessing of the University of Tennessee and is capable of subjecting students from all over the nation to this stupidity.

Vass, a 62-year-old wearing a blue CSI-Death Valley cap, is teaching his students witching, aka divining or dowsing. It’s a centuries-old practice in which a person walks a straight line holding two bent pieces of metal, or sometimes a Y-shaped twig, until they signal the presence of whatever is being sought underground. Water witches dowse for groundwater. Others use divining rods for seeking precious gems, oil, gold. Or, as in this case, human remains.

The Marshall Project undersells the next sentence.

Dowsing for the dead is not exactly endorsed by scientists or forensic experts.

This is a new tact for the Marshall Project, the self-proclaimed crim law Messiah, which normally mindlessly regurgitates police junk science claims. But as Kevin and Tim note, it’s not merely that Vass is training police in the proper use of divining rods for the dead, but that a judge in Georgia actually admitted testimony on it conclusively demonstrating that neither the expert nor, apparently, the admitting judge passed freshman science.

If this all strikes you as too ludicrous to believe, consider that there are a great many who  are similarly willing to believe anything that supports what they want to be real, ranging from magical cures for Covid to stolen elections, on the one side, to systemic racism and microaggressions that traumatize so deeply that puppy rooms are required for survival, on the other.

Having forsaken hard facts for personal truths, requiring nothing more than passionate belief and the willingness to wrap up our ideological wishlist in pseudo-scientific jargon, should we be surprised that the same thing isn’t enjoying a rebirth in law enforcement and courtrooms? After all, if it proves guilt when guilt is what we want proven, how can it be wrong?

Of course, when it comes to forensic science, most of us don’t share the desire to rationalize away reality in order to assure the guilt of a defendant based upon science-y sounding nonsense, but that’s only because we’re the defense and our work is dedicated to challenging such nonsense in order to defend that accused from conviction. In other words, our defense-oriented priors make us inclined to doubt junk science, which enables us to be science pedants when it comes to the litany of junk used in courtrooms.

There’s plenty of other stuff that’s all been considered the gold standard of evidence that has failed to add up to anything when any actual scientific scrutiny is applied to it. Bite mark analysisblood spatter analysisbullet matchinghair matchingDNA… all of it is suspect or, at the very least, not nearly as accurate as law enforcement forensic experts assert in court.

But at least most of that stuff has some science to it, even if it’s not nearly as capable of producing bulletproof matches as law enforcement techs believe it is. Microscopes, labs, lab coats, software, specialized hardware, chain of custody, documentation, clipboards, things utilizing radiation or ions or spectroscopes or whatever… that all goes into examining evidence and generating leads or overly confident statements in court.

Tim left out fingerprints, not to mention duct tape analysis, but to be fair, the list is really far too long to cover everything. But then, our desire to believe in whatever serves our ends at any given moment may make us skeptics when it comes to some areas of junks science, but not all. And the same nice folkx who share their outrage over the crap used in court to prove murders embrace junk when used to prove crimes they hate committed by people they hate.

One of the great curiosities is how the same folks who are outraged by junk science in the courtroom when applied to certain cases, certain crimes, “bite mark” analysis for example, or “bullet lead” analysis, aren’t perturbed at all about the testimony of someone like “forensic psychologist” Barbara Ziv.

Ziv, a professor at Temple University, may be remembered from her testimony against Bill Cosby. Her putative “expertise” is in dispelling “rape myths.” To put it differently, she’s an expert in promoting the #MeToo narrative, the litany of excuses for why anything a self-identified victim does proves their truth. Remember everything? Guilty. Remember nothing? Guilty. Remember some but not all? Guilty. Ziv gives the excuse for why, no matter what the case, it proves guilt. And she’s quite good at it.

Notably, Congress just reauthorized the Violence Against Women Act, which now includes the “Abby Honold Act” to provide grants to train police to use “trauma-informed” methodology, the purpose of which is to:

(A) prevent re-traumatization of the victim;

(B) ensure that covered individuals use evidence-based practices to respond to and investigate cases of domestic violence, dating violence, sexual assault, and stalking;

(C) improve communication between victims and law enforcement officers in an effort to increase the likelihood of the successful investigation and prosecution of the reported crime in a manner that protects the victim to the greatest extent possible;

(D) increase collaboration among stakeholders who are part of the coordinated community response to domestic violence, dating violence, sexual assault, and stalking; and

(E) evaluate the effectiveness of the training process and content by measuring—

(i) investigative and prosecutorial practices and outcomes; and

(ii) the well-being of victims and their satisfaction with the criminal justice process.

Granted, it’s not as obvious as using divining rods to find dead bodies, but it’s no less junk science, even including the pretense of “evidence-based practices” as subterfuge for ideological lies tied up in a pretty pink bow. Not only are we no closer to eradicating junk science in the courtroom, but we’re embracing it when it serves to produce the popular ends of the moment. If we’re more than happy to ignore science when it serves popular ends, then the use witching rods should come as no surprise as voodoo makes its comeback, if it were every really gone.

10 thoughts on “Welcome Back, Junk Science (As If It Were Ever Really Gone)

  1. Vaughan McCue

    Richard Dawkins conducting double-blind dowsing tests

    You guessed it- failure. Scary trail, we are going down here.

  2. B. McLeod

    This is probably less harmful than most of the bogus science. They find a body or they don’t.

  3. John Kelly

    OMG. Where have I been all this time. I am the first author with Dr. Frederic Whitehurst on a hopeful book ((there will be strong opposition to its publication) about wrongful drug convictions and would like to send you our first chapter. You can add “infallibility” to your list of fallible forensic science techniques — much quicker than diving rods and fail safe. When I asked Doctor Walter Rowe about former DEA lab director Richard Fox’s testimony for 10 years that the three-part test for identifying marijuana is infallible –all endorsed by judges, he said: : “Do you have contrary evidence?” Well, dang, I don’t have evidence that infallibility does not exist.

    Keep up your good work,
    John Kelly
    You can publish my email address anywhere and everywhere

  4. Solon

    Dowsing may be junk science, but not in the same way that the other examples you mention are. The others are expert evidence that something particular happened, or happened in a particular way. In this case, the body was the evidence: so long as the search was warranted, it doesn’t matter how they searched – throwing darts, dowsing, dirt analysis – the method of searching is not evidence of anything relevant to proving the case – the dead body itself is that. If the results of the dowsing is what warranted the search, then the junk science is relevant, but that isn’t what happened here.
    This may be a longer form version of what McLeod said, so sorry if I’m wasting your bandwidth.

  5. L. Phillips

    Every once in a while a well constructed sentence makes my day. This is one of those days.

    “Dowsing for the dead is not exactly endorsed by scientists or forensic experts.”

    Damn I am glad that I retired before the clowns completely took over that circus.

  6. Grum

    It’s been a while since I did science, having a BSc in Chemistry, but I recall that everything put forwards as being reliable was repeatable, had a thorough theoretical foundation, and importantly, a huge literature and number of knowledgable people who devoted entire careers to testing and verifying the first two aspects.
    I doubt that the latter resource is available in a courtroom and share our hosts distrust.

  7. Jill P McMahon

    This reminds me of David Grossman of Killology fame. Vass doesn’t have an extensive list of journal publications (see PubMed), but what there is sounds like pretty conventional forensic science research. I remember reading a couple of his articles years ago. Plagued by small samples, but it reads like conventional science.
    I think both these guys found out how attractive and lucrative it is to hit the law enforcement training seminar/continuing ed circuit and left real science and legitimate research for the bright lights and money
    Sad.

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